Statistics are under the microscope in sports now more so than ever. There are stats for seemingly every aspect of every sport, and there are even adjusted versions of these stats to give a more accurate picture of a team or player’s performance. Thanks to this increased availability and accuracy, sports bettors have an ample volume of statistics at their disposal to assist in the handicapping process.Stats are kept in the game of football at various levels, both for collective teams and individual players. The primary unit battles (offense vs. defense), as well as individual player tussles (wide receivers vs. cornerbacks, etc.), can all be measured, gauged, and predicted thanks to statistics and analytics. The following sections discuss several statistics to monitor closely when it comes to betting the NFL.
When it comes to predicting future points scored and allowed by a certain team, it turns out that yardage statistics prove more reliable than previous scoring stats themselves. There are a whole host of yardage statistics that NFL bettors should track diligently, including but not limited to:
One other specific statistical area that deals with a team’s yardage gained or allowed is Explosive Play Rate. Looking for offenses that routinely strike for big gains and defenses that are prone to allowing chunk plays can prove particularly advantageous when these units are set to be matched up head to head in a game.The strength of a team’s defense has proven quite valuable in determining outcomes for both moneyline and spread betting over time. The defensive points allowed per 100 yards statistic is a great indicator of just how tough it is to score on a given defense.The stat is calculated by first dividing the total number of yards a defense has allowed เว็บพนัน UFABET by 100. The answer is then divided into the total number of points a team has allowed. The resulting single-digit value provides a great statistic by which to compare several teams’ abilities to prevent opponents from scoring. The majority of teams will have DPA/100 ratios between 6.0 and 7.0. A good defense will fall below 6.0 and a bad one will be above 7.0.
While there is an undeniable element of luck involved in turnovers, knowing how a team’s turnover margin stacks up relative to their opponent in a given week can help bettors rationalize inflated market lines that differ noticeably from their projections. Because turnovers can propel a team to victory or spell their doom in a given game, they often correlate directly with how the betting public perceives a team the following week.While the battle in the trenches garners little spotlight or fanfare, the front lines are without a doubt the heart and soul of a football game. The pressure rate statistic is the best way to predict whether a future drive will be shut down by a crushing sack, even more so than sack rate. A defense with a strong pressure rate will prove especially effective on pass plays. Knowing which defenses are best at generating pressure, which offensive lines are best at preventing it, and which quarterbacks perform well or poorly under it are all helpful for NFL bettors.
Time of possession is an important statistic to track on a couple of fronts. On the surface, it speaks to an offense’s ability to control a game. The underlying consequence stemming from this is how rested a team’s defense will be late in games. If the offense is controlling the time of possession, a defense will have a better chance of making plays late in a close game if they haven’t been on the field for extended periods of time. While it is a great way to draw comparisons between teams, making betting decisions based on time of possession alone is ill-advised.Bettors should also be aware of how the time of possession data can become skewed. For instance, if a team plays several games where they are up by 20 points or more in the second half, they will tend to have a greater time of possession, thanks to both their efforts to bleed the clock and the opposing team’s attempts at preserving time to try and mount a comeback.